Medred on media double speak; Hope for democrats to flip the US Senate?

COVID 19

Double Speak
Craig Medred, March 30, 2020

Alaska’s largest newspaper is again downsizing, but it is understandable if you missed this news.  The email to ADN.com viewers from editor David Hulen required fluency in Orwellian doublespeak.  One could easily have taken at face value his pitch that “ADN has mobilized to cover the coronavirus crisis” and missed the contradiction that followed:  “We’ve had to temporarily cut back hours and pay for all employees, along with some painful layoffs.”  A reduction in force through layoffs, shrinking man hours and pay cuts is not a mobilization. It is what the military would call a demobilization.

IRS Gives Stimulus Check Distribution Details, Says Payments To Begin Within Three Weeks

OIL

Oil Search adds to industry job losses
The Australian Pipeliner, March 30, 2020

Approximately 100 Oil Search staff have lost their jobs after the company moved to reduce operating costs in response to current market conditions.  The cuts were made to Oil Search’s offices in Sydney and Anchorage, Alaska, while its board and executive will also take a 20 per cent salary reduction for the next six months.  The move comes in response to the oil price crash and the COVID-19 pandemic, with the company having already suspended all upcoming discretionary activities, other than those required to maintain production of oil and gas from its Papua New Guinea facilities.  Oil Search Managing Director Dr Keiran Wulff said the decision had been “very difficult”.

GAS

Shell drops out of major US LNG project
Ron Bousso, Shradha Singh, Scott DiSavino, Reuters, March 30, 2020

Royal Dutch Shell Plc pulled out of a major U.S. liquefied natural gas (LNG) export plant under development following the recent crash in energy prices, quickly followed by its partner, Energy Transfer LP, delaying its final decision on whether to go ahead with the project to next year. The Lake Charles, Louisiana, facility is one of several LNG export projects worldwide that have been delayed in recent months by the collapse in global energy prices. Global LNG demand has been hitting record highs for years, thanks to big demand from Asian nations like China and India as they diversify away from dirtier coal power generation.

MINING

Dunleavy is doing the right thing on Pebble
Pete Kelly, Anchorage Daily News Opinion, March 30, 2020

Gov. Mike Dunleavy came into office with a message to potential investors that Alaska was open for business. It was not a carte blanche invitation to roll into the state and get rubber-stamped permits. Rather, it was a message to potential investors that if they play by the rules and meet strict state and federal regulations, then Alaska will provide a fair process to determine if a project is right for us. Here’s how the Dunleavy message applies to the Pebble Project: Prove your project under our rules, using solid science, and if it’s good for Alaska – we will welcome the opportunity. How will we know it’s good for Alaska? The permitting process. That’s the scientific review by which we evaluate all projects. And that’s the counterpoint to all the madness over Pebble.

POLITICS

New Polls And New Candidates Are Giving Democrats Some Hope Of Flipping The Senate
Nathaniel Rakich, FiveThirtyEight, March 30, 2020

The topsy-turvy Democratic primary for president dominated political news for the first two-and-a-half months of 2020 — and rightfully so, it was bonkers — but now that it’s settled down, it’s time for us to check in once again on the other major political battle of 2020: the fight for the U.S. Senate.  Republicans started the cycle with the advantage, but Democrats have had reason for optimism of late. New polls have shown Democratic challengers ahead of GOP incumbents, the party is recruiting strong candidates, and, perhaps most importantly given the tight correlation between presidential and Senate voting, former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democrat who has polled the best against President Trump, has become the party’s likely presidential nominee.

2 cents an acre; FDA authorizes drug to treat coronavirus; Civil rights leaders like natural gas

Happy Seward’s Day Alaska!!   

COVID 19

FDA authorizes widespread use of unproven drugs to treat coronavirus, saying possible benefit outweighs risk
Christopher Rowland, The Washington Post, March 30, 2020

The Food and Drug Administration has given emergency approval to a Trump administration plan to distribute millions of doses of anti-malarial drugs to hospitals across the country, saying it is worth the risk of trying unproven treatments to slow the progression of the disease in seriously ill coronavirus patients.  There have only been a few, very small anecdotal studies that show a possible benefit of the drugs, hydroxychloroquine and chloroquine, to relieve the acute respiratory symptoms of Covid-19 and clear the virus from infected patients.

OIL

The end of OPEC or a new beginning?
Sarah Ladislaw, Center for Strategic and International Studies, March 30, 2020

Many people have heralded the “end of OPEC” throughout its 60-year history. Even when it was alive some analysts regarded it as functionally dead several times. The most recent time was during the oil price crash of 2014 when U.S. oil production so voraciously outpaced demand growth that OPEC walked away from trying to bolster prices in an effort to let market forces tamp down the U.S. tight oil sector. Even then, OPEC members came back together in 2016 with a newly established OPEC+ arrangement—adding Russia and a handful of other non-OPEC producers to their alliance in order to bolster the size of their market share and influence on the market.

What to watch in the oil market this week
Matthew W. Veazey, Rigzone, March 30, 2020

The oil market’s volatility last week prompted a trio of market-watchers assembled by Rigzone to suggest themes that one might observe in an action film. Looking ahead to this week, our panelists anticipate more tough times in the near-term but also opportunities for deal-making and even a glimpse of better days perhaps in the coming months. Read on for their perspectives.

Alyeska Pipeline continues to operate critical infrastructure while protecting families & communities

Alyeska continues to proactively apply guidance from our medical experts and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Whether working from home or transiting in the state or local communities, we have implemented best practices in order to protect our workforce as well as those around them. These steps include hygiene protocols, self-monitoring for illness, maintaining social distancing, eliminating most travel, and implementing telework wherever possible because we take our responsibilities seriously.

GAS

Exclusive: Civil rights leaders oppose swift move off natural gas
Amy Harder, Axios, March 29, 2020

Top American civil rights activists are opposing an abrupt move away from natural gas, putting them at odds with environmentalists and progressive Democrats who want to ban fracking.  Driving the news: In recent interviews, Revs. Al Sharpton and Jesse Jackson and National Urban League President Marc Morial said energy costs are hitting people of color unfairly hard. These concerns, expressed before the coronavirus pandemic, are poised to expand as paychecks shrink across America.

MINING

Critical Infrastructure Sectors

There are 16 critical infrastructure sectors whose assets, systems, and networks, whether physical or virtual, are considered so vital to the United States that their incapacitation or destruction would have a debilitating effect on security, national economic security, national public health or safety, or any combination thereof. Presidential Policy Directive 21 (PPD-21): Critical Infrastructure Security and Resilience advances a national policy to strengthen and maintain secure, functioning, and resilient critical infrastructure. This directive supersedes Homeland Security Presidential Directive 7.

POLITICS

Governor Dunleavy gives FY21 budget a mixed grade

“Early this morning, (March 29th), the 31st Alaska State Legislature recessed after finishing work on the FY 2021 Operating and Capital Budget, the FY 2020 Supplemental Budget, and extending the Public Health Emergency Disaster Declaration for COVID-19. Governor Mike Dunleavy appreciates the fact that lawmakers worked quickly to pass a budget and, that certain funding was included to combat aspects of the pandemic and the associated economic fallout. However, the Governor feels the legislature missed the mark by not including a cash infusion that many leading economists believe should be implemented as quickly as possible. “

TGIF: Dr. developing vaccine; best run for stocks; $1200 stimulus payment

COVID 19

Meet the Doctor Developing a Vaccine for COVID 19

Best run for stocks since the 1930’s  

When and How Will I Get That $1200 Stimulus Payment?

OIL

Fuel Supply Networks are Responding Properly
Dean Foreman, API Energy Blog, March 26, 2020

Supply networks for refined products – including gasoline, diesel and jet fuel – appear to be responding properly and flexibly to sudden and sharp declines for transportation fuel stemming from the coronavirus (COVID-19) and global efforts to slow its spread.  Market conditions can shift, yet API’s view at this point is that most refined products markets have continued to function well in keeping about a month’s worth of storage.   We gauge this in part by comparing recent inventory levels for gasoline, diesel and jet fuel with their ranges over the past five years. Although some products appear to have more available storage capacity than others, if needed, it also is apparent that the pace at which refiners produce fuels can provide additional adjustments which will affect demand for storage.

GAS

How COVID 19 will reshape global gas
Nikos Tsafos, Center for Strategic & International Studies, March 25, 2020

The rapidly evolving COVID-19 crisis presents profound challenges for the global natural gas industry, as it does for the energy system as a whole and the economy at large. Before COVID-19, the gas industry was in the midst of four cycles or transformations, whose trajectory the crisis will alter. First, there was a market cycle characterized by short-term oversupply, low prices, and record-level investment in future supply, which threatened to extend the current overhang into the mid-2020s. That imbalance will get starker in the short term as demand collapses and producers are forced to curtail output, but less bleak in the long term as projects underway get delayed and investment in new projects slows as companies cut spending.

LNG Producers Dump Spot Cargoes on Oversupplied Market
Irina Slav, OILPRICE.COM, March 27, 2020

Amid plunging gas demand, LNG producers are under pressure to dump their cargoes on the spot market, further depressing already low prices, Reuters reports, citing commodity trading sources.  “We’re seeing more sell tenders these days due to a combination of factors like coronavirus and DQT, but this also means that when demand rebounds, buyers will return to the market to seek spot cargoes,” one source told the news agency, referring to the downward quantity tolerance stipulation typical of take-or-pay contracts for natural gas that allows the buyer to buy less than agreed without consequence.

MINING

Murkowski, Sullivan: Ambler Access Project Could Help Close the Gap on America’s Mineral Security

U.S. Sens. Lisa Murkowski and Dan Sullivan, both R-Alaska, today issued the following statements after the Bureau of Land Management (BLM) released the final Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) for the Ambler Mining District Industrial Access Road project.

POLITICS

Green campaigners want to reduce air travel, just not this much
Ryan Heath, Politico, March 27, 2020

The Climate Group has written openly about the current frustration in green circles. Despite the NGO’s staff being used to remote work, they have never “truly believed in the power of the virtual world to provide the same outcomes as physical attendance at intimate stakeholder meetings, diplomatic discussions or international events.”

10-minute coronavirus test steps closer to reality; Employer paid leave requirements

COVID 19

Ten-Minute Coronavirus Test Moves Closer to Manufacturing
Alonso Soto, Bloomberg Technology, March 26, 2020

U.K.-based Mologic Ltd. has sent prototypes of a 10-minute coronavirus test to laboratories for validation before it can begin full-scale manufacturing.  The company and its partner, the Senegalese research foundation Institut Pasteur de Dakar, have developed a finger-prick test to determine whether a person had the illness and the state of his or her immune system. The company is also working on a separate saliva test to detect the presence of the virus.  After initial assessment in the U.K., the prototypes will be sent to other laboratories for validation in a process that could take three to four months, said Paul Davis, Mologic’s chief scientific officer.

Families First Coronavirus Response Act: Employer Paid Leave Requirements

OIL

As Trump Seeks Pricier Oil, China Saves $250 Million Daily
Dan Murtaugh, Alfred Cang, Debjit Chakraborty, Bloomberg, March 25, 2020

As the U.S. finds itself in the unfamiliar position of lobbying for higher oil prices, China’s enjoying what amounts to a major rebate from crude’s crash just as it tries to recover from the coronavirus.  The world’s biggest oil importer is saving about $250 million a day after crude prices crashed this year amid dual demand and supply shocks. It’s coming at an opportune time for its economy, which is expected to post the slowest growth since the end of the Mao era. Should low prices last, benefits could include a boost in consumer spending, a stronger trade balance and less stress on currency reserves, as well as a source of cheap supplies for its strategic reserves.

GAS

Investors Are Warming to Natural Gas
Ryan Dezember, Wall Street Journal, March 26, 2020

Traders are backing off their bearish bets on natural-gas prices, stock buyers are flocking to the beaten-down shares of Appalachian producers and analysts are forecasting short supplies of the fuel next year unless those companies get back to drilling.  All this comes with natural gas fetching its lowest price in a quarter-century and a global pandemic crushing demand from power plants and factories. It is also spring, when heating demand from U.S. households typically falls off a cliff.

MINING

Kensington mine to quarantine workers traveling to Juneau
Jacob Resneck, CoastAlaska, March 25, 2020

Employees and contract workers at Kensington Mine will now be required to spend 14 days in quarantine in a Juneau hotel. That’s if they arrive from outside Alaska or a coronavirus-infected community.  Coeur Alaska announced the new measures — effective immediately — on Wednesday afternoon for the Juneau-area gold mine.  The move follows a similar protocol by Hecla Greens Creek Mine on Admiralty Island. The workforce at both remote mine sites includes out-of-state workers who transit through Juneau’s airport.

POLITICS

From the Washington Examiner, Daily on Energy:

TRUMP QUIET AS SENATE GOP LOOKS FOR ARMAMENT FOR OIL PRICE WAR: The oil price war remains alive and well after President Trump did not appear to press Saudi Arabia to end it during a rare remote G-20 Summit Meeting on Thursday morning.

The U.S. was expected to leverage Saudi Arabia’s status as head of the G-20 to press it to halt its plan to slash export prices and flood the market with 12.3 million barrels per day next month, worsening a price crash also caused by flagging demand from the coronavirus.

Also participating in the meeting was Russia, the other major player in the price war which split from a Saudi-led OPEC pact to limit production, sparking retaliation from the Kingdom.

Before the meeting, Dmitry Peskov, spokesman for Russian President Vladimir Putin, told reporters the topic of oil would not come up. The U.S. has blamed Russia for the price war, accusing it of seeking to damage American shale producers who have taken market share while the Saudis and Moscow held back production.

Trump and Senate Republicans diverge on Saudi policy: The Trump administration has taken a lighter touch with Saudi Arabia; an ally Trump has held close even as other countries have distanced from the Kingdom after the murder of journalist Jamal Khashoggi.

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo spoke with Saudi Arabia Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman on Wednesday, encouraging the Kingdom to embrace a “real opportunity to rise to the occasion and assure global energy and financial markets when the world faces serious economic uncertainty.”

But Senate Republicans from oil states are escalating their calls for the Trump administration to take a tougher line with Saudi Arabia. Senators Lisa Murkowski and Dan Sullivan of Alaska led a letter to Pompeo Wednesday reminding him that the U.S. has “enormously powerful tools at our disposal,” including imposing oil import tariffs and sanctions, withdrawing military aid, and even passing NOPEC legislation that would allow the U.S. to sue the oil cartel for antitrust violations.

“By taking advantage of a confusing situation and desperate time, the Kingdom risks its bilateral relationship with the United States,” the senators said.

Small business relief tracker; Fairbanks mines helping senior citizens

COVID 19

Legislature expands unemployment benefits, allow all Alaskans out of work due to COVID  19 to apply
Shayne Nuesca, KTVA, March 24, 2020

Small business relief tracker: Funding, grants and resources for business owners grappling with coronavirus

Oil

Bailout for big oil:   democrats eliminate $3 billion strategic petroleum reserve purchase in pandemic relief package
Josh Siegel, Washington Examiner, March 25, 2020

Senate Democrats say they were able to eliminate the $3 billion for restocking the nation’s emergency Strategic Petroleum Reserve from the pandemic relief package.   Earlier versions of the relief bill proposed by Republicans contained the funding, an amount requested by the Energy Department, which was intended to help the oil industry reeling from low prices.  But Democrats and Republicans haggled over energy and climate-related provisions, with Democrats asking for carbon emissions restrictions on airlines and tax subsidies for renewables as part of the relief package.

Gas

Cheap gasoline forcing US refiners to throttle back
Jessica Summers and Barbara Powell, Bloomberg, March 24, 2020

Oil refiners across the U.S. are being forced to throttle back operations amid a historic plunge in gasoline demand and prices.  Plants representing more than 10% of U.S. fuel-making capacity have cut back. Exxon Mobil Corp. has slowed rates at facilities in Texas and Louisiana, while others around Los Angeles and Philadelphia are taking similar action to stem a growing glut of gasoline, diesel and jet fuel. Phillips 66 said Tuesday many of its refineries are processing minimum amounts of crude.  Refiners are acutely exposed to the financial impact of the spreading coronavirus.

Mining

Fairbanks area mines look after seniors
Shane Lasley, North of 60 Mining News, March 20, 2020

Amidst the scramble to prepare for an imminent pandemic that is roiling mining and metals markets, the three large mines in Interior Alaska have taken the time to look after the members of their community most vulnerable to COVID-19.  On March 12, Kinross Fort Knox Mine, Northern Star Resources Ltd. Pogo Mine and Usibelli Coal Mine collectively donated $21,000 to support an emergency funding request received from the North Star Council on Aging for the Fairbanks Senior Center.

Politics

Forget politics – Majority of Republicans and Democrats now agree coronavirus is serious threat
Reuters, March 25, 2020