Headlamp – Teach your children well – congrats to ANSEP for doing just that!

July 24, 2018 | Posted in : News

Ash Center Announces Finalists for Innovations in American Government Award
Ash Center for Democratic Governance and Innovation, July 23, 2018

Today, the Ash Center for Democratic Governance and Innovation at the John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, announced the finalists for the 2018 Innovations in American Government Award. Seven programs, listed below, will compete for a $50,000 grand prize this fall in Cambridge. And the nominees are:

Alaska Native Science and Engineering Program

Alaska natives, more than any other demographic in the state, have historically been less likely to pass standardized tests and more likely to drop out of school. In 2014, only five percent of Alaska native graduating seniors met all four ACT College Readiness Benchmarks. The Alaskan Native Science and Engineering Program (ANSEP) works with indigenous youth in some of the most remote areas of the country to encourage the development of STEM skills to prepare them for future job opportunities.

Our Take: AKHEALAMP is a big fan of ANSEP and all that they do, so successfully! Best wishes!

Natural Gas: Essential to a lower carbon energy future
Pace Global, July 24, 2018

Natural gas has proven its role as an integral part of the United States’ transition to a lower carbon energy future. Over the past decade, there has been a significant reduction in the carbon intensity of the national electric supply, due in large part to an increase in gas-fired generation and a decrease in coalfired generation. Similarly, despite the absence of a comprehensive national carbon policy or defined emission limits, emissions from the U.S. power sector have declined almost 20 percent since 2005, primarily driven by the shift to natural gas.

Our Take: Well worth the read – this presentation does a great job of making the case that “natural gas generation is the best available approach to ensure reliability, complement renewables, reduce total emissions, and keep costs lower for consumers.” We hope the members of Governor Walker’s Climate Action Leadership Team are open to information like this…

Why carbon tax bill is DOA, and why that might not matter
Chron, James Osborne, July 23, 2018

Florida Congressman Carlos Curbelo isn’t naive. During an appearance Monday morning in Washington, he nodded his head when it was suggested that the carbon tax legislation he plans to introduce later in the day had no chance of passing Congress. Curbelo, a Republican representing coastal South Florida, then suggested the outcome was almost beside the point, describing his legislation as an “opportunity to begin that discussion” about climate change with those Republicans who might be “reconsidering their positions.”

Our Take: AKHEADLAMP disagrees – it is naïve to think that introducing carbon tax legislation starts a conversation that ends well. Republicans reconsidering their positions on climate change should focus on the free market efforts that have already been leading to reductions in carbon footprints and emissions – not taxes that raise the cost of living for consumers and hurt businesses.

Kids around the world are suing governments over climate change—and it’s working
Quartz, Ephrat Livni, July 23, 2018

Nobody could have predicted the kids would get this far. Back in 2015, a group of 21 young Americans decided to sue the US government over climate change. In Juliana v. US, the plaintiffs argue that the government has violated “the youngest generation’s constitutional rights to life, liberty, and property” by adopting policies that promote the use of fossil fuels—despite the knowledge that carbon dioxide emissions are a primary cause of global warming. That might sound like an extreme claim. But in the years since, the lawsuit has kept succeeding against all odds. The Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals on July 20 denied the Trump administration’s attempt to dismiss the suit (pdf), and the case remains set for trial 0n October 29.

Our Take: Teach your children well. Arguing that your rights have been violated by a government that promotes fossil fuels and suing the US government seems a bit over-the-top. Perhaps some research first?

 

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Headlamp – Good, bad and ugly of China & LNG. State leaders: salmon initiative will cost time and $.

July 23, 2018 | Posted in : News

Risks are rising that oil prices will cause next recession
CNBC, Tim Mullaney, July 23, 2018

Oil gained more than 20 percent in the first half of 2018, and odds have been rising that higher crude oil prices will spark the next economic downturn. This should not come as a surprise for any investor who is a student of market history: The last five U.S. recessions were also preceded by a rise in oil prices.

Energy giants opening natural gas spigots, fueling profit rise
Reuters, Ernest Scheyder, July 22, 2018

The world’s largest oil companies are pumping more natural gas than ever before, helping to spur a rise in profits while sating rising global demand for fuels that can mitigate global greenhouse gas emissions. BP Plc (BP. L), Exxon Mobil Corp (XOM.N), Royal Dutch Shell Plc (RDSa.L), Total SA (TOTF.PA) and Chevron Corp (CVX.N) have collectively increased natural gas output 15 percent in the past decade thanks to better technology and lower costs, according to data from Wood Mackenzie energy consultancy.

Chinese June LNG imports rise YoY
LNG World News, Staff, July 23, 2018

Imports of liquefied natural gas (LNG) into China during the month of June have risen compared to the corresponding period last year. The country that is pursuing the switch from coal to natural gas for heating and industrial purposes, saw its June LNG imports reach 3.97 million tons, 31.3 percent above the volumes imported in the corresponding month last year, data from the General Administration of Customs shows.

Our Take: The good. China needs LNG, Alaska has a huge supply.

China just received its first LNG shipment to arrive directly from the Russian Arctic by ship
Arctic Today, Hsin Hsuan Sun, July 20, 2018

A liquified natural gas shipment arrived in China from Russia’s Yamal LNG project via the Northern Sea Route for the first time on Thursday, a trip that cut shipping time by almost half compared to traditional routes. Chinese media hails the delivery as a “new page” for Russia’s LNG exports to China. This new shipping route saved gas supplier Novatek almost 20 days shipping time to China, as well as the fees incurred on the westward route via Suez Canal.

Our Take: The bad. Alaska has competition.  

China is waging a ‘cold war’ against the U.S., says CIA Asia expert
NBC News, Saphora Smith, July 21, 2018

China is waging a “cold war” against the United States to take its place as the leading global power, a top CIA expert on Asia said Friday. Beijing does not want to go to war with the U.S. but is attempting to undermine Washington’s global position by using all avenues available to it, said Michael Collins, deputy assistant director of the CIA’s East Asia mission center.

Our Take: The ugly. China wants to be number 1 and they don’t play fair. Anyone who tells you this won’t impact the Alaska LNG project is not acknowledging reality.

Siemens and Knikatnu propose to jointly supply IGU with LNG
Alaska Public Media, Dan Bross, July 20, 2018

A natural gas supply proposal from Siemens and Knikatnu Corporation is a safer, less expensive option for the Interior Gas Utility. That’s the message from officials with the partnered companies that want to supply the Fairbanks North Star Borough’s Interior Gas Utility with liquefied natural gas. The IGU’s current plan is to expand its Titan LNG production plant on Cook Inlet to increase output of gas it trucks to Fairbanks. Speaking in Fairbanks on Monday, Knikatnu Corporation President Tom Harris says buying gas from Knik area Native Corporation and Siemens would save the Interior Gas Utility the cost of expanding the Titan plant.

Our Take: AKHEADLAMP hopes this is a big step in securing reliable, affordable energy for Fairbanks.

From today’s Washington Examiner, Daily on Energy:

OIL MARKET CONCERNS HIT THE SENATE: The Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee will be meeting with energy analysts and experts to better understand what could drive oil prices higher.

Hearing from the experts: Those testifying include who’s who list of energy experts, but no one from the administration or the Energy Information Administration. The closest person to a government official would be Keisuke Sadamori, the energy markets for the International Energy Agency. But that’s a consortium of governments from around the world to which the U.S. contributes.

More energy advisers: John Auers, executive vice president at Turner, Mason & Company, will also be testifying, along with Robert McNally of the Rapidian Energy Group.

Jason Bordoff, founder of Columbia University’s Center on Global Energy Policy, will also be there, along with E. Russell Braziel, CEO of the market analytics firm RBN Energy.

State leaders say salmon initiative would cost time and money if it passes
KTOO Public Media, Andrew Kitchenman, July 20, 2018

State government leaders said an initiative to protect salmon that Alaskans could vote on in November will cost the state money and delay infrastructure projects. They spoke at a Senate State Affairs Committee meeting held Friday in Anchorage to consider the effect of Ballot Measure 1.

Our Take: AKHEADLAMP appreciates Senator Giessel’s observation, “It’s amazing to see how well the state agencies work together to protect Alaska’s resources – especially fish.”  

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Congress Condemns Carbon Tax; Russia, China step in to help North Korea

July 19, 2018 | Posted in : News

Russia, China delay U.S. push for halt to refined petroleum to North Korea
Reuters, Michelle Nichols, July 19, 2018

Russia and China delayed on Thursday a U.S. push for a U.N. Security Council committee to order a halt to refined petroleum exports to North Korea, asking for more detail on a U.S. accusation that Pyongyang has breached a cap, diplomats said. Russia’s mission to the United Nations told the 15-member committee it is “closely examining this request and is seeking additional information on every single case of ‘illegal’ transfer of petroleum,” diplomats said. China backed the request for information.

Our Take: Russia, China and North Korea – the Three Musketeers? When they say, “all for one and one for all,” the world should pay attention.

Saudi Arabia Says It Won’t Oversupply the Global Oil Market
Bloomberg, Grant Smith, July 19, 2018

Saudi Arabia rejected concerns that it’s planning to oversupply global oil markets and said it will trim crude exports next month. Under pressure from U.S. President Donald Trump to cool rallying prices, the kingdom bolstered production by the most in three years last month, pumping almost 10.5 million barrels a day. Yet it signaled on Thursday that it won’t go any further for now, saying exports this month will be “roughly equal” to June, and will drop by 100,000 barrels a day in August.

From the Washington Examiner, Daily on Energy:

HOUSE APPROVES GOP LEADERSHIP MEASURE CONDEMNING CARBON TAX: The House easily approved a non-binding, GOP-leadership backed resolution Thursday opposing any carbon taxes as harmful to the economy.

“A carbon tax would be devastating to the manufacturing base, kill jobs, and raise costs for families all across this country,” Majority Whip Steve Scalise, R-La., who sponsored the resolution, said on the House floor before the vote. “The resolution is simple. It’s a sense of Congress that a carbon tax would be detrimental to American families and business.”

The Republican-led House has already passed similar symbolic gestures in previous sessions of Congress, and its unlikely lawmakers would approve a carbon tax anytime soon.

Full Committee Hearing on Administration Reorganization and Modernization Proposals for DOE and DOI
U.S. Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources, July 19, 2018

U.S. Sen. Lisa Murkowski, R-Alaska, today chaired a hearing to examine the administration’s efforts to reorganize and modernize the Department of Energy (DOE) and the Department of the Interior (DOI). “It’s our responsibility to look at the structures of government and determine whether they are as efficient and effective as we expect,” Murkowski said. “Putting ideas on the table for improvements is a good thing – something we should encourage. And from there, it’s on all of us to consider those ideas, help refine them, and then move forward on those that best serve the American people. I appreciate Alaska being a pilot for many of these ideas and look forward to continuing to work with the agencies as these efforts move forward.”

 

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Alaska’s Balash in the Big Easy; Usibelli Turns 75

July 18, 2018 | Posted in : News, Uncategorized

Usibelli Coal Mine celebrates 75 years in Healy
Alaska Public Media, Dan Bross, July 17, 2018

Usibelli Coal Mine is celebrating its 75th anniversary. The operation in Healy started by Emil Usibelli in 1943, run by his son and now by his grandson, is Alaska’s only operating coal mine. Joe Usibelli has run the company for the last three decades and shared the story of the family coal mine in a recent presentation to the Fairbanks Chamber of Commerce. Usibelli says his family came to the US over a century ago to seek a better life, just like today’s immigrants. ”My great-grandfather came over in 1907, my grandfather came over in 1909,” Usibelli said. “They came over from Italy, and there’s parallels in the world right now.”

AGDC will stick with Nikiski as prefered choice for LNG Project
Mat-Su Valley Frontiersman, Tim Bradner, July 17, 2018

Alaska LNG has cited all its reasons why Port MacKenzie won’t work as a site for a large liquefied natural gas plant. In a filing with the U.S. Energy Regulatory Commission, the state gas corporation, Alaska Gasline Development Corp., said issues with navigation, tides, beluga whales and other problems make the MatSu port on Knik Arm an unworkable choice for a marine loading terminal for the large LNG plant that is planned.

Our Take: How many times will AGDC be asked to defend its choice of Nikiski as the site for their LNG plant? AKHEADLAMP hopes this is the end of the discussion.

Alaska megaproject hits financial headwinds as elections loom
E&E News, Margaret Kriz Hobson, July 18, 2018

The blueprint to finance and build a $44 billion natural gas export project is coming under fire at a time when people here are gearing up for a governor’s race that could again throw the future of the Alaska liquefied natural gas project into question.

Our Take: We agree. This is shaping up to be a key issue in the gubernatorial race. Does the state allow market dynamics to guide the project or does the state force a project? As Senator Giessel noted, most legislators are supportive of the project, “but not at any cost.”

Texas to pass Iraq and Iran as world’s No. 3 oil powerhouse
CNN Money, Matt Egan, July 17, 2018

Plunging drilling costs have sparked an explosion of production out of the Permian Basin of West Texas. In fact, Texas is pumping so much oil that it will surpass OPEC members Iran and Iraq next year, HSBC predicted in a recent report.   If it were a country, Texas would be the world’s No. 3 oil producer, behind only Russia and Saudi Arabia, the investment bank said.

Our Take: Texas’ activity led to an additional $2 billion + for the Texas State Legislature.

America’s Oil And Gas Boom Is Spreading Through The Country
Forbes, David Blackmon, July 17, 2018

The Permian Basin, home to more than 40 percent of all active U.S. drilling rigs, continues to receive most of the credit for the rapid growth of U.S. oil production; meanwhile, the Marcellus Shale receives the lion’s share of credit for ongoing record-setting levels of domestic natural gas production. But a series of recent information releases demonstrate that the oil and gas boom is spreading into other plays across the nation.

Our Take: ConocoPhillips recent announcement about increased activity gives AKHEADLAMP hope that the oil and gas boom doesn’t bypass Alaska. Reduction in operating costs AND a stable fiscal climate contributed to their decisions. Elections matter – AKHEADLAMP hopes Alaskans will elect leaders who appreciate their largest business partners and will maintain a business climate that attracts more investment.

Parnell backs Dunleavy over Treadwell for governor
KTVA, Steve Quinn, July 17, 2018

Former Alaska governor Sean Parnell has endorsed Mike Dunleavy over Mead Treadwell, who served as Parnell’s lieutenant governor during his first full term. Dunleavy announced the surprise show of support on his campaign Facebook page Tuesday evening. Dunleavy spokesman Brett Huber declined to comment further on the endorsement beyond referring to the page, on which Dunleavy said, “I’m honored to have Sean Parnell’s support.”

 

From today’s Washington Examiner, Daily on Energy:

TRUMP APPOINTEES ADDRESS CONFERENCE OF CLIMATE SKEPTICS: The Trump administration is appearing in force at this year’s annual conference of the Heartland Institute, a group known for its questioning of climate science.

The group released the list of keynote speakers in an agenda Tuesday night for the Heartland Institute’s America First Energy Conference.

Interior Department: Joe Balash, the Interior Department assistant secretary for Land and Minerals Management, is set to deliver the closing keynote speech on August 7 at the Hilton New Orleans Riverside hotel.

Energy Department: Another keynote speech will be given by Douglas Matheney, special advisor to Energy Secretary Rick Perry. Matheney advises on fossil fuels policy.

The agenda: The conference will examine President Trump’s energy agenda, “which is focused on making the United States a global energy power,” according to the group’s agenda. “The conference will examine what has changed, how that has affected America’s economy, and what’s next.”

Our Take: Great to see Alaska’s own Joe Balash as the keynote at this conference!

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Headlamp – Drill it and Fill it. ConocoPhillips gets aggressive & Alaska wins.

July 17, 2018 | Posted in : News

ConocoPhillips Continues To Expand Alaska North Slope Oil Wealth Resource
Northern Gas Pipelines, Dave Harbour, July 17, 2018

Late yesterday, ConocoPhillips provided an update on its operating plan for Alaska, focusing on the company’s long history of creating value in the state and an ongoing commitment to invest in low cost of supply opportunities. Over the past few years, the company’s Alaska business has undergone a significant transformation, driven by a more competitive fiscal framework, cost reductions, technological advancements and an exploration renaissance.

Our Take: Great news for Alaska! Conoco is a leader in responsible resource development and this investment will provide jobs for Alaskans, help spur the economy, and put oil into the pipeline.

U.S. hits $1.1 billion Texas oil pipeline with steel tariff
Reuters, Liz Hampton, July 16, 2018

A $1.1 billion U.S. shale pipeline on Monday was denied an exclusion to the Trump administration’s tariff on imported steel, the first such ruling on a major energy project since the tariff went into effect. Pipeline operator Plains All American Pipeline LP’s request was denied because suitable product is available from domestic producers, the Commerce Department ruling said.

Our Take: Will this tariff effect the pipeline AGDC has planned?

The Real Winners and Losers of Trump’s Trade War Speak Up
Bloomberg, Jeremy Diamond, Crayton Harrison, Lena Lee, Kevin Miller and Phil Serafino, July 17, 2018

Now it’s getting real. U.S.-imposed tariffs on goods from China, the EU and other countries have been met with similar tariffs on American goods. Companies that have warned for months that imposing tariffs would hurt growth and threaten jobs are beginning to report actual, concrete effects from the global trade war.

China is investing 9 times more into Europe than into North America, report reveals
CNBC, Natasha Turak, July 17, 2018

China is investing nine times more into Europe than it is into North America as policies force divergence, a report released this week reveals. Chinese outbound foreign direct investment (FDI) has dramatically swung toward Europe in the first half of 2018 and its FDI into North America has dropped by a whopping 92 percent in the last year, from $24 billion to $2 billion, according to multinational law firm Baker Mackenzie.

Alaska’s LNG project looking for private contractor to help with federal permitting
KTOO Public Media, Rashah McChesney, July 16, 2018

Alaska’s gasline corporation is planning to hire a private contractor to help it through the federal permitting process. The move comes after the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) sent a letter to the state, asking for help. FERC is the lead agency doing the environmental and engineering review of the Alaska LNG project.

Our Take: FERC has potential delays of 12-18 months. That is unacceptable. Involving the private sector will help make the process more efficient and permitting go as smooth as possible.

Another big oil lease sale set for August
Daily Comet, Keith Magill, July 15, 2018

The Trump administration says it will again conduct the largest oil and gas lease sale in U.S. history in August, opening about 78 million acres in the Gulf of Mexico to drilling. It remains uncertain whether the lease sale will attract any more interest than the previous two, which attracted bids on 1 percent or less of the tracts offered.

From today’s Washington Examiner, Daily on Energy:

FREE-MARKET GROUP TAKES TREASURY TO COURT OVER CLIMATE CHANGE: The conservative think tank Institute for Energy Research filed an open records lawsuit on Tuesday against the Department of the Treasury to block Washington from “quietly advanc[ing] the ‘climate’ industry.”
FOIA: The Freedom of Information Act suit was filed in the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia, seeking “certain, specific records relating to the ‘climate risk disclosure’ campaign begun in 2012 by various activist groups including Ceres and Rockefeller Financial Asset Management and led by disgraced former New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman.”
Pyle in charge: The group, headed by Tom Pyle, former energy transition chief for Trump, said the climate agenda, if implemented, “would have immense economic and legal consequences.”
What the lawsuit wants: Pyle’s group requested all correspondence by Treasury’s Energy and Environment Director Peter Wisner that mention these terms: “Bloomberg task force,” “G20,” “Task Force on Climate-Related Disclosure,” “climate risk disclosure,” and/or “climate financial disclosure.”

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Headlamp – Trump, Sullivan and Bradner all agree: LNG can be a game changer.

July 16, 2018 | Posted in : News

Trump Says U.S. Will Compete With Russia for European Gas Market
Bloomberg, Elena Mazneva, July 16, 2018

U.S. President Donald Trump eased his tone about a Russian natural gas pipeline to Germany after a one-on-one meeting with President Vladimir Putin, shifting from the harsh criticism he’d levied in Europe last week. “We are going to be selling LNG and will have to be competing with the pipeline and I think we’ll compete successfully,” Trump told reporters at a press conference with Putin after their meeting in Helsinki on Monday. “I’m not sure necessarily that it’s in the best interest of Germany or not but that was the decision that they made.”

Our Take: Russia’s response? “ They will never catch up with and will never surpass Russian gas exports to the region…”  

‘Putin understands power:’ Sullivan discusses Helsinki meeting
KTVA, Liz Raines, July 15, 2018

President Donald Trump met with Russian leader Vladimir Putin Monday in Finland — just days after the indictment of Russian intelligence officers accused of hacking the Democratic National Committee during the 2016 presidential election. The news, which broke Friday, had some Republican senators, like John McCain calling for Trump to get tough with Putin or cancel the meeting. On Sunday, Alaska’s junior senator Dan Sullivan weighed in on NBC’s “Meet the Press.” “I think we should still have the meeting,” Sullivan told host Chuck Todd.

Our Take: In the same interview, Sullivan said “projects like the Alaska LNG that increase U.S. energy production could help to improve relations between the two countries.” 

Skin in the game: Alaska Department of Revenue soon to complete LNG Project analysis
The Frontiersman, Tim Bradner, July 14, 2018

Alaskans will get their first look at a possible state investment in the large Alaska LNG Project early next year when the state Department of Revenue completes its analysis of financing options for the $43 billion project. There won’t be a recommendation but there will be estimates of how a state equity contribution might help the project along with what risks there might be, state officials told legislators in hearings last Wednesday.

A look forward at Alaska’s economic prospects
Anchorage Daily News, Tim Bradner, July 14, 2018

I was in Fairbanks a couple of months ago having a beer with Mouhcine Guettabi, economist at the University of Alaska Anchorage’s Institute of Social and Economic Research. We were in the Interior as part of Northrim Bank’s annual presentations on the state’s economic condition for community leaders. Mouhcine and I were musing about what it will take to jerk Alaska’s economy out of its slump, which is now in its third year

Our Take:   The road to recovery for Alaska’s economy relies on responsible resource development.

Under Trump, energy influence groups ramp up
Axios, Amy Harder, July 16, 2018

President Trump has scrambled traditional alliances in Washington across the policy spectrum, including energy. The capital’s influence apparatus is responding in kind. Driving the news: Informal coalitions are popping up under Trump more than they have in the past, according to veteran Washington consultants and newly compiled federal lobbying data. These groups are mostly separate from the familiar, entrenched trade groups that traditionally run Washington’s lobbying and public relations machine.

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Headlamp – Friday the 13th – Exxon breaks up with Koch brothers over climate change

July 13, 2018 | Posted in : News

 

Exxon quits Koch-backed business group after climate change disagreement

Chron, Kevin Crowley and Ari Natter, July 12, 2018

Exxon Mobil quit the American Legislative Exchange Council, a lobbying group bankrolled by fossil fuel companies, following a disagreement over climate-change policy. The oil giant won’t be renewing its membership after it expired in June, spokesman Scott Silvestri said by phone. Exxon had a public spat with ALEC in December when some members backed by climate skeptics such as the Heartland Institute moved to convince the federal government to drop its claim that climate change is a risk to human health.

Alaska LNG team braces for logistics challenge
Upstream, July 13, 2018

The developers of the planned Alaska liquefied natural gas export facility are preparing for the challenges of building the massive project in one of the most remote and harshest areas of the US. The scheme calls for a gas treatment plant on the North Slope, a liquefaction facility on the south-east coast at Nikiski, and an 800-mile (1290-kilometre) pipeline to connect them. “It’s going to take a logistical army to accomplish that,” said Frank Richards, senior vice president at project developer Alaska Gasline Development.

Our Take: When the author chose the word “scheme” to describe the project, which definition did they have in mind – a) a carefully, arranged and systematic program of action for attaining some object or end or b) a secret or underhanded plan; plot? AKHEADLAMP applauds the writer, who albeit unwittingly, used one word to describe how Alaskans feel about the project…

Oil Set for Weekly Loss on Trade War Fears, Libya Supply Return
Bloomberg, Grant Smith and Erin Douglas, July 12, 2018

Oil headed for a weekly loss as escalating trade tensions between the U.S. and China rattled investors, while Libya’s plans to restore output allayed fears of a supply crunch.

Our Take: Read the next article to see how this impacts Alaska.

Fiscal Year 2018 Closing Numbers
King Economics Group, Ed King, June 29, 2018

While the price of oil ended the fiscal year just shy of $80 per barrel, the early part of the year drags down the annual average to $63.62. This is $7.62 higher than the DOR forecast provided last Fall and $2.62 higher than the updated number they provided in the Spring. The current DOR forecast for FY19 is $63. We expect that number to increase in the Fall forecast, unless there is a sudden shift in the oil market before then. Our current forecast for FY19 is an average oil price closer to $80 per barrel. There are also offsetting opportunities for that number to go higher or lower depending on market events.

Our Take: Legislators were planning on about $1.5 billion from oil taxes to spend on the state budget. They were given a gift when oil prices increased, and the number grew to $1.8 billion. Now it looks like it will be closer to $1.9 billion. AKHEADLAMP remains concerned that rising oil prices lead to weaker backbones for elected officials and diversifying our economy and reducing the size and scope of government gets put on the back burner – once again.

Fed emphasizes ‘solid’ U.S. economic growth, repeats gradual approach
Reuters, Lindsay Dunsmuir and Howard Schneider, July 13, 2018

U.S. economic growth has been solid during the first half of the year and the Federal Reserve continues to expect to raise interest rates gradually, the central bank said on Friday in an upbeat semi-annual report to Congress. Details of the 63-page report were consistent with the Fed’s current outlook detailed at its policy meetings, which is that strong economic growth and low unemployment require rate rises but that a lack of severe inflation pressures means they can remain gradual.

From the Washington Examiner’s, Daily on Energy:

OIL INDUSTRY SLAMS TRUMP’S LACK OF TARIFF RELIEF AS ‘BAD NEWS’ FOR ECONOMY: The oil industry on Friday scolded the Trump administration for denying its requests for relief from tariffs on imported steel, saying the decision is “misguided” and ultimately “bad news” for the American worker.

“The administration’s denial of needed product exclusions from harmful tariffs on steel is bad news for American workers and consumers who have benefited from increased American energy production,” said Kyle Isakower, the American Petroleum Institute’s vice president for policy.

Our Take: Shell and Chevron received waivers for steel products used in pipelines not made in the US. With only 241 waivers processed in June amid a backlog of 20,000 – what does this do to the President’s “energy independence” plan?

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Headlamp – AGDC Quarterly Update to the Legislature; Updating the Endangered Species Act

July 12, 2018 | Posted in : News

Standing room only for the AGDC update to the Legislature’s Joint House and Senate Resources Committee. AGDC, the Department of Revenue (DOR) and the Department of Natural Resources (DNR) each briefed the legislators on their activities regarding Alaska LNG. A few of the key points:

AGDC:

  • AGDC has progressed anchor capacity agreements with Sinopec, CIC Capital & the Bank of China
  • AGDC does not believe the trade war will significantly impact Alaska LNG
  • AGDC plans to make investing in the project available to public and private investors
  • AGDC has enough funding to work through fiscal year 2019 at its current pace
  • Click here for AGDC presentation

DOR:

  • Presented their goals of investment and fiscal analyses
    • Provide objective review of the opportunity/risks of Alaska LNG for State
    • Evaluate fiscal implications of project for State
    • Assess potential risks to State and mitigating factors
    • Assist Legislature and state in decision to invest in project and financing options
    • Click here for DOR presentation

DNR:

  • Provided a detailed update on their royalty gas
    • Selection of Royalty in Kind (RIK) or Royalty in Value (RIV)
    • Develop and execute a gas sales agreement with AGDC for RIK
    • Address valuation process used to calculate royalty gas value if RIV selected
    • Click here for DNR presentation

DOR discussed the possibility of the permanent fund investing in the project. DNR Commissioner Andy Mack, who sits on the APFC board, told the crowd that he hasn’t seen any proposal to do so nor has he had any conversations with the Walker administration about plans to do so.

Oil Market Report
International Energy Agency, July 12, 2018

The world’s excess supply of oil may be “stretched to the limit” as Middle East countries and Russia boost production to offset a confluence of output disruptions from major producers. The International Energy Agency, in its monthly oil market report released Thursday, welcomed the recent deal by OPEC and Russia to increase oil production by a collective 1 million barrels per day to stem rising prices and offset lost barrels in Venezuela, Libya, and Iran.

From the Washington Examiner’s, Daily on Energy:

HOUSE TO ROLL OUT ENDANGERED SPECIES AGENDA: House members of the Western Congressional Caucus will come together late Thursday afternoon to introduce eight bills that will make up the GOP-led legislative agenda for updating and modernizing the Endangered Species Act. “These much-needed, critical pieces of legislation will provide important updates to historically and currently problematic or dysfunctional components of the law,” according to the Natural Resources Committee.

Our Take: A big step forward for responsible resource development. The ESA has been abused by “keep it in the ground” groups far too long.

Alaska Wants to Fight Warming While Still Drilling for Oil
E&E News, Kelsey Brugger, July 12, 2018

Alaska’s appetite for oil is as ubiquitous as the state’s proliferating examples of a changing climate.

Our Take: An interesting read on climate change, oil and the Governor’s race. There is a GOOD reason why none of the gubernatorial candidates oppose drilling in ANWR.

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“Sock” it to Zinke? Alaska worst state for business.

July 11, 2018 | Posted in : News

News that is truly absurd: OFFICE OF SPECIAL COUNSEL OPENS CASE ON ZINKE’S SOCKS: The U.S. Office of Special Counsel has opened a case file on Interior Secretary Ryan Zinke after receiving a complaint alleging he may have potentially violated the Hatch Act when he posted a photo of himself wearing a pair of “Make America Great Again” socks on social media.

Alaska, shackled with a ‘grave’ budget crisis, is America’s worst state for business
CNBC, Scott Cohn, July 10, 2018

Alaskans just got some good news and some bad news. First, the good news: The state’s budget deficit — estimated at $2.4 billion just a few months ago — has been cut by more than two-thirds, to $700 million. It is still large by state standards, but enough to convince Standard and Poor’s to revise its outlook, to stable from negative, on the state’s debt

Our Take: State GDP rose last year by just 0.2 percent. Foreclosures are up 170% in the housing market. We can do better, but we aren’t. Click here to find out why. Our word is not good in the financial markets. Elections matter.

Trump’s OPEC Tweets Have Putin Preparing for Oil Talks
Bloomberg, Ilya Arkhipov and Elena Mazneva, July 11, 2018

When Russian President Vladimir Putin meets Donald Trump next week, he’ll be armed to discuss oil production following the U.S. leader’s series of tweets targeting OPEC, according to people familiar with preparations for the summit.

Our Take: Newest technique for negotiating between world powers? Twitter. “While Russia says tweets don’t define the policy of the so-called OPEC+ group, Trump’s Twitter post led Novak and his Saudi counterpart Khalid Al-Falih last week to reaffirm an agreement reached in June to restore 1 million barrels a day of oil supply.”

Oil’s New Technology Spells End of Boom for Roughnecks
The Wall Street Journal, Christopher M. Matthews, July 10, 2018

After 20 years in the oil-and-gas industry, Eric Neece was used to its booms and busts. He wasn’t surprised when he was laid off by GE Oil & Gas in Conroe, Texas, in 2015 after oil prices plummeted. He figured his job would come back when prices crept back up. He was almost right. The work came back. But Mr. Neece’s former job as a well logger—measuring well conditions thousands of feet underground—was gone. Those duties are increasingly being overseen remotely and handled by automation.

From today’s Washington Examiner, Daily on Energy:

A NEW DAY AT EPA AS ANDREW WHEELER ADDRESSES EPA EMPLOYEES: EPA Acting Administrator Andrew Wheeler will address all agency employees Wednesday afternoon.

Open to press: The EPA is allowing press to attend the address and is broadcasting a live stream.

“I’m looking forward to addressing EPA employees today about how we work together to improve the Agency’s core functions,” Wheeler said in a Twitter post. “As a former EPA career staffer, I deeply appreciate the work they do for the Agency & the American people.”

Open doors: The open meeting is another sign the EPA under Wheeler is trying to be more transparent with the public after Pruitt was accused of being overly secretive, signaling a shift in tone, even if the policy stays similar.

Our Take: A great move by Mr. Wheeler. Former Administrator Pruitt made great progress in reigning in the EPA and getting rid of burdensome regulations. It was all overshadowed by his behavior. Let’s not lose the ground we gained – work with the press, be transparent and keep the momentum going!

Alaska AFL-CIO president says Walker has earned re-election
KTOO Public Media, Andrew Kitchenman, July 10, 2018

The head of Alaska’s largest labor federation says at this point, Gov. Bill Walker would have most unions’ support. And he wants Walker and former U.S. Sen. Mark Begich to reach an agreement that would leave only one of them in the race for governor. Four years ago, the Alaska AFL-CIO endorsed independent Bill Walker – after Democratic candidate Byron Mallott joined Walker’s ticket as the candidate for lieutenant governor. Based on what the Walker-Mallott administration has done since then, federation President Vince Beltrami said the governor deserves re-election. The AFL-CIO will make an endorsement on Aug. 24 – if two-thirds of its unions can agree.

Our Take: It’s like déjà vu all over again.

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The Kavanaugh Korner – Who is he & how does he feel about resource development?

July 10, 2018 | Posted in : News

Who is Brett Kavanaugh:

  • He currently serves as a United States Circuit Judge of the United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit.
  • He was White House Staff Secretary during the Presidency of George W. Bush.
  • Kavanaugh has been nominated to become an Associate Justice for the United States Supreme Court.
  • Born: Feb 12, 1965 (age 53) · Washington, D.C., United States
  • Education: Yale College · Yale Law School · Yale University
  • Previous office: White House Office of the Staff Secretary (2003 – 2006)

Statements from Alaska’s Senators:

Senator Murkowski: “I intend to review Judge Kavanaugh’s decisions on the bench and writings off the bench and pay careful attention to his responses to questions posed by my colleagues on the Senate Judiciary Committee. The American Bar Association’s Standing Committee on the Judiciary will also review Judge Kavanaugh’s qualifications prior to these hearings and issue a rating. I intend to carefully consider that rating, the information obtained through personal meetings, my own review of Judge Kavanaugh’s qualifications and record, and the views of Alaskans in determining whether to support him. My standard for reviewing Supreme Court nominees remains rigorous and exacting,” Murkowski said in a statement.

Senator Sullivan: “I’ve had the pleasure of knowing Judge Brett Kavanaugh for some time – dating back to when we worked together in the Bush administration. He is very well regarded as a judge on the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals – the second most important court in the country. In that role he is known for applying the law and Constitution as written, upholding our Second Amendment rights, and having a healthy skepticism concerning the powers of federal administrative agencies. In the coming weeks, I look forward to reviewing in further depth Judge Kavanaugh’s extensive record as a D.C. Circuit judge and discussing these and other important issues with him. I expect the upcoming Senate confirmation process to be both rigorous and fair, one deserving of a Supreme Court nominee.”

From today’s Washington Examiner Daily on Energy:

KAVANAUGH SKEPTICAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL REGULATIONS, BUT OPEN-MINDED: Kavanaugh is generally skeptical of far-reaching environmental regulations, his decisions and writing shows.

But conservatives who favor a deregulatory approach at EPA should not expect Kavanaugh to automatically vote in their favor, experts say.

Not ‘open season’: “Kavanaugh is temperamentally and philosophically skeptical about the exercise of government power, especially when agencies act expansively, and find new powers in longstanding laws,” Jody Freeman, the founding director of the Harvard Law School Environmental and Energy Law Program, told Josh.

“But I don’t think his pick means it’s open season for deregulation,” Freeman added.

Freeman said Kavanaugh would not stand for careless deregulation.

Check the record: Kavanaugh’s long record on environmental opinions shows he is “persuadable, not dogmatic” Freeman said.

But he has voted to invalidate some major EPA pollution rules in dissents and supports strong judicial oversight in reviewing the actions of administrative agencies.

Iran vows to sell as much oil as it can despite U.S. sanctions
Reuters, Reuters staff, July 10, 2018

Iranian vice president Eshaq Jahangiri acknowledged on Tuesday that U.S. sanctions would hurt the economy but promised to “sell as much oil as we can” and protect its banking system. Jahangiri said Washington was trying to stop Iran’s petrochemical, steel and copper exports, and to disrupt its ports and shipping services. “America seeks to reduce Iran’s oil sales, our vital source of income, to zero,” he said, according to Fars news agency.

‘Cooperation with oil & gas is key to floating wind’s future’
Wind, William Hurley, July 10, 2018

The decades of experience acquired by the oil industry in developing deep-water facilities could be a big boon to floating wind – if true ‘two-way’ collaboration between the sectors can be made to flourish, says William Hurley. Technology transfer from the oil & gas industry, which decades ago ventured from bottom-fixed drill rigs on jackets to immense floating platforms, will be key to speeding the migration of offshore wind into deeper water plays. This acceleration can be accomplished by adapting oil & gas experience to deep-water offshore wind to manage and reduce risk.

Our Take: It’s good to see recognition from renewable energy folks that cooperation with the oil and gas industry is necessary for their success. As we watch Governor Walker’s climate action leadership team (CALT) develop a policy for the state, we will be looking for their plans to “cooperate” with the industry.

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